Friday 8 September 2017

Cambridgeshire Final 2017


Aside from the obvious at Shelbourne Park, there is plenty to entertain at the top level around the country this weekend and the Cambridgeshire Open 750 provides quality final action at Limerick where the commencement of the always entertaining Birmingham Hooper Dolan 600 forms part of a quality under-card with recent Derby eliminees Mildean Puma and Sellout Magic among a stellar entry.

In the Cambridgeshire, there was some high profile casualties in the semi`s with Ballymac Bonnie and Droopys Smasher failing to progress from a heat won by Oakfront Oreo in a slick 41.76 which was over 80 spots ahead of the opposing semi won by Cailin Pol.


It would be easy to dismiss the qualifiers from the slower heat and in win terms they do have a mountain to climb but that does not mean that they can't influence the outcome.

Aiding Oakfornt Oreo in a thrilling buckle with Searchforahero last week was his draw on the inside of that rival as they cut out a fast pace from the off. Tempering confidence in Oreo now is that same rival's position to his inner while complicating matters for both is the sharp and wonderfully game Cailin Pol who could deny them a rails pitch in the early stages as she would be fancied to lead Rockchase Bilic from Trap 2.

In a short run to the bend it is always likely to get tight at the corner in a 750 race but this time it looks nigh-on inevitable when considered that Society St Ridle is also likely to race in a prominent position on the outside of that trio and predicting who will gain a crucial clear run is far from simple. That said, a fast break for either Oakfront Oreo or Searchforahero could settle the final early.

What is predictable however is that Jaytee Patriot, on all recent evidence, will not be beside these at the bend to worry about an early bump. He hasn't been trapping well and indeed never has in five Limerick outings. Expected to track the early leaders to the third bend, those leaders have very similar figures for the opening 225 yards and the possibility of bumps remains high even beyond the first turn.

The Hennessy runner, who got too far detached last week, can keep closer order to halfway this time before unleashing his powerful finishing kick.

Trap 1:
Flew from halfway in close 3rd to T2 last week. Must keep closer order for late bid now.
13-2
Trap 2:
Such a gutsy performer & semi winner can make bold bid again if sneak round in lead.
11-2
Trap 3:
Lost out in brilliant battle with T4 latest but clear claim again now inside him, chance!
11-4
Trap 4:
Fastest in semi`s, winning thriller vrs T3. Draw a factor & must match him early, player!
11-4
Trap 5:
Just lost out in a cracker with T2 last week. Time to find but likely lead on outer, trios?
6-1
Trap 6:
Got too detached in semi but expect another late rally & powerful stayer is a big factor.
11-4
Win/ Place:
6
Reverse Forecast:
6-3
Trio All-Ways:
6-3-4